Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 3.318711 3.962090 4.679983 5.537925 6.532737 7.647247 8.987599
2025-10-26 2.368820 3.182060 4.184587 5.501224 7.173464 9.214087 11.878739
2025-11-02 1.725373 2.564924 3.691119 5.290581 7.477905 10.334876 14.313239
2025-11-09 1.305116 2.122620 3.303472 5.097341 7.708608 11.317515 16.614579
2025-11-16 1.059393 1.865328 3.107206 5.106204 8.174073 12.618799 19.432223
2025-11-23 0.876763 1.661259 2.943739 5.118734 8.617557 13.901335 22.313034
2025-11-30 0.724498 1.472496 2.765734 5.068681 8.937902 15.006736 25.004657
2025-12-07 0.574935 1.254870 2.498596 4.823499 8.900056 15.534210 26.830287
2025-12-14 0.483929 1.127191 2.365296 4.782157 9.182845 16.579205 29.539198
2025-12-21 0.412446 1.022722 2.255793 4.763257 9.492665 17.682554 32.416279
2025-12-28 0.383413 1.002139 2.304003 5.042355 10.358574 19.791106 37.125917
2026-01-04 0.344870 0.951912 2.283518 5.182515 10.977250 21.512676 41.290709
2026-01-11 0.315641 0.919101 2.297621 5.400091 11.777219 23.643609 46.373193
2026-01-18 0.273966 0.846320 2.213186 5.402421 12.158219 25.045311 50.264784
2026-01-25 0.226161 0.745614 2.047757 5.206714 12.117641 25.653476 52.749803
2026-02-01 0.186997 0.658015 1.896910 5.019699 12.069350 26.233944 55.213465
2026-02-08 0.163815 0.610578 1.836151 5.029535 12.435715 27.644664 59.342126
2026-02-15 0.143968 0.568011 1.780214 5.042240 12.807153 29.089728 63.629733
2026-02-22 0.124451 0.520948 1.703646 4.992958 13.032550 30.250769 67.429887
2026-03-01 0.101324 0.454241 1.559565 4.751071 12.787642 30.411447 69.227513
2026-03-08 0.087893 0.418090 1.496352 4.710290 13.009040 31.571691 73.135576
2026-03-15 0.076887 0.387605 1.444242 4.691646 13.280545 32.857507 77.383062
2026-03-22 0.074261 0.390171 1.495674 4.967028 14.303291 35.863963 85.434592